Key Takeaways
Cosmos has risen by more than 60% over the last week.
The recent uptrend appears to be approaching exhaustion.
A spike in selling pressure could push ATOM to $28.
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Cosmos looks like it’s on the cusp of losing a crucial support level that could lead to significant losses. The pessimistic outlook for ATOM is further validated by a technical indicator and a bearish pattern developing on the token’s 12-hour chart.
Cosmos Faces Possible Retrace
Cosmos looks primed to incur losses over the weekend as multiple bearish signals have appeared.
The interoperability network’s ATOM token has enjoyed a significant rally over the last week. The 20th-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has surged by more than 60% since Feb. 24. Now, it looks like Cosmos is bound for a spike in profit-taking that could trigger a steep decline.
The recent upward price action appears to have led to the formation of a rising wedge on ATOM’s 12-hour chart. As Cosmos moves closer to the pattern’s apex, it could be preparing to break through support. A decisive close below the wedge’s lower trendline could result in a 14.4% correction toward $28.
The Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator adds credence to the pessimistic outlook. It’s currently presenting a green nine candlestick on ATOM’s 12-hour chart, which is considered a sell signal. An increase in selling pressure could validate the bearish formation, resulting in a one to four 12-hour candlesticks retracement.
Source: TradingView
It is worth noting that while the odds appear to favor the bears, ATOM could have a chance to invalidate the optimistic thesis.
The Fibonacci retracement indicator, measured from ATOM’s low at $21.50 on Feb. 24 to its high at $34.70 on Mar. 4, suggests that a decisive 12-hour candlestick close above the recent high of $34.70 could give ATOM the strength to advance higher. In this eventuality, the asset could rise toward $38 or even $40.
Cosmos’ ATOM token is trading at $32.73 at press time, which puts its market cap at about $9.5 billion.
Disclosure: At the time of writing, the author of this piece owned BTC and ETH.
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